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Monday, May 12, 2014

extreme long-short allocations by MV optimizer

This is stressed over and again in my MV optimization course...

 

Suppose we have only 2 securities with high correlation.

 

Often one of them (AA) has a slightly higher Sharpe ratio than the other. The optimizer would go long a few hundred percent (say 300%) on it, and short 200% on the other (BB). These allocation weights add up to 100%.

 

If we tweak the historical mean return a bit so AA's Sharpe ratio becomes slightly below BB, then the optimizer would recommend go deep short AA and deep long BB.

 

This is a common illustration of the over-sensitivity and instability of MV allocation algorithm. In each case, the optimization goal is maximum Sharpe ratio of the portfolio. Why Sharpe? MV